
AI Productivity Growth Won’t Match the Computer Revolution
AI Productivity growth will underwhelm, not because the technology is weak, but because it creates a bottleneck that earlier digital tools largely avoided.
Author profile

Carl Benedikt Frey is Associate Professor of AI & Work at the Oxford Internet Institute and Director of the Future of Work Program at the Oxford Martin School. He is the author of How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations (Princeton University Press, 2025).

AI Productivity growth will underwhelm, not because the technology is weak, but because it creates a bottleneck that earlier digital tools largely avoided.