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Avatar photoGuillaume Duval

Guillaume Duval is adviser to the Jacques Delors Institute, former editor-in-chief of Alternatives Economiques and former speechwriter of HRVP Josep Borell.

Iran May Become the Next Failed State — and Europe Will Pay the Price

Guillaume Duval

The US-Israeli assault on Iran was launched mid-negotiation, without UN backing, making it more dangerous to international law than Iraq.

The War on Iran Has Begun — Here Are Ten Issues That Will Shape What Comes Next

Guillaume Duval

The American-Israeli assault has decapitated Iran's regime, but the cascade of geopolitical consequences threatens to destabilise the entire global order.

Why a Club of Six Nations Is Both Europe’s Best Hope and Its Greatest Risk

Guillaume Duval

A German proposal to unite the EU's six largest countries confronts a Union paralysed by the dominance of its smallest members.

Why the Left Must Defend Central Bank Independence

Guillaume Duval

Donald Trump's assault on the Federal Reserve should finally convince progressives that monetary autonomy is a democratic necessity.

Europe’s Foreign Policy Is Broken by Design—Here’s How to Fix It

Guillaume Duval

Kaja Kallas is not the problem; the EU's dysfunctional institutional architecture is crippling its global influence.

Europe Must Abandon Appeasement and Confront Trump’s Hostile America

Guillaume Duval

The failure of European leaders' strategy of accommodation proves that Trump's United States has become an adversary, not an ally, demanding a fundamental shift in EU policy.

Europe’s Self-Inflicted Wound: The Corporate Responsibility Retreat

Guillaume Duval

By dismantling corporate sustainability rules, European businesses are handing competitive advantages to their foreign rivals.

Could Ukraine’s Reparations Loan End The EU’s Paralysing Foreign Policy Veto?

Guillaume Duval

A €140 billion loan secured against frozen Russian assets may force Europe to abandon unanimity voting—and finally give the EU real geopolitical power.

Why Putin Does Not Want Peace in Ukraine

Guillaume Duval

Even America's most Russia-friendly president cannot deliver the ceasefire Moscow's strategic calculations demand.

Europe’s Silence Fuels Gaza Crisis—Can EU Act?

Guillaume Duval

As Trump and Netanyahu reignite Gaza conflict, Europe's failure to respond risks severe regional consequences.

Europe’s Military Build-Up: Will Social Spending Be Sacrificed?

Guillaume Duval

Europe must urgently increase defence budgets—but it doesn't have to mean deep cuts to public services. Here's the alternative.

The End of the ‘West’ and Europe’s Future

Guillaume Duval

The West Is Over! What This Means for Europe.

Facing Trump: Why Europe Must Revive Common Debt

Guillaume Duval

Mario Draghi’s report called for bold investment and common debt issuing, but it is fuelling a dangerous deregulatory push across Europe.

Europe’s existential test: Navigating Putin, Trump, and the Global South

Guillaume Duval

How the EU must act to survive mounting global threats.

Why is France unable to reach social compromises?

Guillaume Duval

With a tenth general strike in France against the pension reform, an exit is needed from decrees and street clashes towards negotiated governance.

What’s driving the social crisis in France

Guillaume Duval

The huge demonstrations against the pension ‘reform’ stem from accumulating resentment under Emmanuel Macron.

Open letter to my German friends about the ECB policy

Guillaume Duval

Guillaume Duval argues that Germany can see the end of ECB quantitative easing—if only it stops imposing austerity on the eurozone.

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S&D Housing Storytelling

Europeans are struggling with rising housing and rental costs, and we have been working in various ways to address this, because we believe a home is a right for everyone.
 Recently, we travelled across Europe to hear directly from people who struggle to afford a decent place to live. They shared a glimpse of how the housing crisis has affected their lives and why having a home is so important to them. Take a moment to check out their stories. They remind us why it is so urgent to act.

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New Edition - Social policy in the European Union: state of play 2025

Can Europe preserve its distinctive social model while simultaneously rearming, reindustrialising, and reorganising its economy in a more conflictual and competitive world? This is the central question raised in this new edition of the Bilan social, a reference publication released every spring for more than 25 years by the European Trade Union Institute (ETUI) and the European Social Observatory (OSE).

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Is financial resilience and trust in Europe faltering?

In this episode of Eurofound Talks, host Mary McCaughey and senior researcher Eszter Sandor unpack the results of the 2025 Living and Working in the EU e-survey. While headline inflation has stabilised at 2.1%, the data reveals a continent gripped by chronic precariousness, with 57% of respondents now at risk of depression. Mary and Eszter explore how this economic insecurity is impacting institutional trust and democratic engagement.

LISTEN HERE
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The Summer issue of The Progressive Post is out! 

The EU is belatedly awakening to a changing Mediterranean sea, where more assertive regional powers are reclaiming a role.

The new issue of the magazine also reflects on how we struggle to keep pace with AI innovations, examines the uncertainties surrounding the execution of the Pact on Migration and Asylum and the risk to human rights posed by the Return Regulation, and focuses on the EU Commission's newly proposed Industrial Accelerator Act.

READ THE MAGAZINE
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Climate policy measures are often met with feelings of powerlessness and disempowerment, triggering fears and resentment. This blog series asks: What does a socially just climate transition look like? How can we create acceptance for just climate policies? 

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“What is the actual purpose of the state?” – this central question is the focus of the analysis. At a time when bureaucratic processes are making life difficult for citizens, the paper proposes a three-part model. It aims at a conception of the state as a platform that helps society build the capabilities it needs to address its problems effectively.

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