
Europe’s Restraint Makes Trump’s Tariffs Pay
Tariff revenue is bankrolling American tax cuts, and Europe is quietly footing the bill.

Tariff revenue is bankrolling American tax cuts, and Europe is quietly footing the bill.

Sonja Hennen and Dominika Biegon
Once NextGenerationEU expires, the EU’s real fiscal capacity falls, leaving a €300 billion annual investment gap.

The EU should seize the moment to gain strategic autonomy by creating its own safe asset.

Central banks are again poised to raise rates against an oil-shock inflation — and again the costs will dwarf the effects.

Sabine Stephan and Sebastian Dullien
Twenty-one of 27 member states saw their exports fall under Trump’s tariffs; the EU’s strongest lever is its own single market.

As Washington turns transactional and Beijing rises, Europe must convert its economic weight into genuine strategic power.

The bloc has swapped Russian pipelines for American tankers — without breaking its addiction to imported fossil fuels.

Silke Tober and Thomas Theobald
Without large-scale joint debt and deeper safe-asset markets, the euro cannot capitalise on Trump’s assault on dollar credibility.

Spain’s heretical VAT cut tames inflation—a model for Europe as Trump’s tariffs and Middle East shocks bite.

The great powers have competing theories of victory; Britain’s path leads inevitably to alignment with Europe.